The Epistemology Of The Israel-Iran Crisis

Israel-Iran conflict is the outcome of the rivalries of civilisations, currently aimed to counter China, which has traditionally played a dormant role, is now actively, albeit indirectly, utilising all opportunities to assert its position as the next dominant power, or more precisely, the new superpower.

This war is also a culmination of many issues of the region vis-à-vis the hushed intrigues of the West and the East. The China angle is new though, a compelling aspect. With these wars바카라•mainly in West Asia, Ukraine, and the subcontinent바카라•China and the other eastern forces have proved themselves as comparatively more potent, and

subsequently a transient phase is about to be determined with the emergence of the New World order led by China.

Iran, having made significant sacrifices, is now in a position to not only demonstrate its military strength, but also to declare itself a potential 바카라˜nuclear power바카라™. This development will fundamentally shift the dynamics of the entire region, ending the dominance of the US proxies in the region, and positioning Iran as the leading country in West Asia and the Muslim world, a status coveted by Saudi Arabia and Turkey. These two countries, however, have missed the opportunity, at least for now, due to their submissive role in Palestine and the absence of 바카라˜the power바카라™. Despite the fact that they too supposedly possess similar capabilities to Tehran.

In the post-war scenario, the relationship will be finalised under the leadership and guidance of China and Russia, with most of the green world and other Asian countries forming alliance with China바카라™s bloc, benefiting from its proven military superiority over the West. However, countries like Israel, India, South Korea, and Japan바카라•considering their geopolitical and ideological compulsions바카라•will likely align with the

Western bloc, albeit as junior partners and with uncertain military support.

This enforced conflict on Iran became imminent because of the duplicity of the US, the war-mongering of Israel바카라™s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and the trapped geopolitical situation for Iran to prove its potency. However, there is another angle to it바카라•that Iran was probably also waiting for this, after utilising all proxies and the fatigued Israel.

This is the ideal time to hit the arch-rival for two reasons: firstly, it hinted that by now, not only is Israel a drained country internally, but also the fact that its supporters have also exhausted themselves materially and ethically for supporting a country, tainted and convicted for war crimes, televised the world over. Secondly, to offset its threats as well as the perpetual danger and intimidation of the West.

The Possible Fallout: First and foremost, internally, the current regime of Iran will gain another chance of rejuvenation if it succeeds in the crisis, which seems highly likely, and the opposition forces will be further subdued and

side-lined. Secondly, a refreshed bond will emerge among Russia, China, Iran, Pakistan, and other friendly countries. Thirdly, the Arab and Muslim countries will emerge from Western pressure and enter into a new phase of deliverance.

A bond within the so-called Muslim ummah will be strengthened, and maybe the dreams of Palestinians will be realised, though both happen to be more far-flung fancies of the Green Belt than reality. Fourthly, India, in the wake of these developments, will be side-tracked geopolitically in Asia, and thus, there is a need to re-evaluate its approach beyond the pro-US/Israel tilt, which, in the event of the block바카라™s failure, will weaken its position. Fifthly, China바카라™s influence and pressure are increasing immensely from all around, and Western forces are not actively investing in safeguarding Indian interests, as evident in the recent scenario. Sixthly, the incoherent current policies of the US will create further internal and external fissures, pandemonium, and further weaken its position, resulting in a trust deficit and a widening distance from Europe, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and its allies, as well as widespread discontent at home. Seventhly, Ukraine and

Israel will be the biggest losers primarily because of their current leadership and extremist policies. Lastly, Iran has also realised the futility of imperialist ambition, mainly because of the fall and failure of Bashar al-Assad and the similar fate of its proxies vis-à-vis the intense rivalry with the Arab world and Türkiye, and thus now calls for a united Muslim military block, which they could have got and should have got much earlier. However, the real geopolitical scenario should be taken into account; therefore, it should not be based on ethno-religious grounds, but on a pragmatic assessment, which suggests having a broader Russian-Asian-African alliance to safeguard strategic, economic, as well as civilisational interests and identities.

(The author is Professor and Chairperson, Centre of Persian and Central Asian Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi)

(Views expressed are personal)