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Details Awaited

The loan waiver will come...but how? Thereby hangs a fiscal tale.

The 바카라historic바카라 loan waiver ann­ounced by Maharashtra CM Devendra Fadnavis following farmers바카라 strikes and demonstrations would cost the state exc­hequer an estimated Rs 30,000 crore to Rs 1 lakh crore. Announced in the backdrop of pressure from allies like Shiv Sena and Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatana as well as the Opposition Congress and NCP, the promised pay-outs vary from the entire loan for small farmers to Rs 1 lakh for all farmers. The state government is holding meeting after meeting to chalk out a viable plan before July 25.

Fadnavis, who has been opp­osed to the idea of a waiver, hastened to include all farmers and all loans after the first meeting with the protesting farmers. The committee that has been appointed to see the waiver through is non-­committal on how it will be executed. What the government has surely agreed to so far is just that every small or marginal farmer should get a crop loan up to Rs 10,000 for the current sowing season, to which the banks have already objected.

바카라We are talking to all senior ministers so that everyone is on board,바카라 says revenue minister Chandrakant Patil, who is also heading the committee to look into the execution of the waiver. 바카라I met Uddhav Thackeray (Shiv Sena) and Sharad Pawar (NCP), besides discussing the issue with Raju Shetti (Swabhimani Paksha).바카라 According to finance minister Sudhir Mungantiwar, everything will be clear by July 25. 바카라We have appointed different committees to determine the criteria for eligibility and the amount to be waived. It is too early to specify how much will be disbursed and how,바카라 says Mungantiwar. The cut-off date for loans to be waived and eligibility in terms of land-holdings and other income sources are to be dec­ided, which will require tedious detailing and sorting. Shiv Sena leader Subhash Desai says, 바카라They met Uddhavji and discussed how to implement the waiver. We will see to it that it is executed.바카라

There is pressure on the administration as the protesting farmers took to blocking supplies of milk and vegetables to the cities, forcing politicians of all hues to announce their support for the demand to waive all loans to all farmers, citing the recent Uttar Pradesh loan waiver as an example. No wonder the BJP had little choice but to declare an 바카라in-principle바카라 blanket waiver 바카라for all바카라, for which all parties are claiming credit. According to the CM바카라s press release, there are 31 lakh defaulters in the state. 바카라We have managed to ensure everyone is included,바카라 says Shetti. 바카라The details will be worked out.바카라

Indeed, much depends on the details. 바카라Government employees who own land should not get the benefit,바카라 says Amar Habib, an activist of the Kisanputra Andolan. 바카라If everyone with other sources of income is excluded, it would save the exchequer at least Rs 20,000 crore of the estimated cost of Rs 30,000 crore. In fact, the children of farmers in our group, who are employed elsewhere, have decided to forego this waiver. This filtering is crucial.바카라

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Pointing out that the waiver alone would not help unless policies under the Centre바카라s jurisdiction are also changed, Habib says he has been campaigning for monthly payment to farmers, even if it is just Rs 5,000, which will prevent suicides.

Economists and banking experts warn against the burden on the state exc­hequer as the entire amount will have to be provided by the state and nothing from the Centre, which has made it clear that funds for loan waivers have to be arranged by the states. 바카라This is taking the state closer to bankruptcy,바카라 says Girish Kuber, editor, Loksatta. 바카라Maharashtra is the single largest loser after GST comes into force. We are yet to recover from the drastic impact of demonetisation. Mungantiwar has also promised reimbursements to municipal corporations. Then there is the burden of the seventh pay commission. The deficit of the state is going to double.바카라 Patil agrees and says, 바카라I can바카라t mention the numbers as yet, but it will surely be difficult to handle a waiver of Rs 30,000 crore plus.바카라

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Desai says, 바카라The Centre should have helped. Moreover, only the Centre can deal with the issue of minimum support price.바카라 While economic compulsions do make the blanket loan waiver a tough fiscal challenge for the state, political pressures will perhaps force the government to implement it. Farmers바카라 activists, however, argue that unless systemic iss­ues are addressed, the waiver can be a temporary relief at best바카라like the first showers of rain, which yield hope, but not necessarily a good crop.

By Prachi Pinglay-Plumber in Mumbai

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