From 바카라�All-Out War바카라� to 바카라�Controlled War바카라�

As young officers in the Indian army in the late seventies, we learnt that the Line of Control (LoC) is a zone of NWNP (No war no peace). Over the years we saw the scenario change into 바카라�forever at war바카라�, as India got embroiled in fighting a hybrid war waged by Pakistan, using jehadis as proxy.  The hostility manifested as terrorist actions, gun duels along the Line of Control, Border Action Teams (BAT), propaganda, indoctrination, radicalisation of the population and so on. Several new coinages came into the lexicon to describe the state of affairs바카라�fragile peace, situation simmering, pot boiling and so on; semantics for justifying and tolerating abnormality as the 바카라�new normal바카라�.

For too long, India has fought this proxy war with two self-imposed ­limitations. First, geographical i.e. ­­the Line of Control is the 바카라�Lakshman­rekha바카라�. Second, the type of force i.e. fight primarily with the army, CAPF (Central Armed Police Forces) and state police. Employ weapons only ­up to a certain calibre. India, unlike ­several other countries, has not used air power and artillery for counter-­terrorist operations. So inviolable was the 바카라�Lakshmanrekha바카라� that even in a situation like the Kargil war we­­ ­chose to uphold the sanctity of the 바카라�Line of Control바카라�. 

In a significant departure from this position of restraint, post the September 2016 attack on the army base in Uri, India decided to shed the first limitation.  It took the war across the Line of Control to strike at some forward launch pads used for infiltrating terrorists by their handlers in Pakistan. In responding to the Pulwama attack, India chose to shed the second limitation on the type of force. India retaliated on February 26 with surgical air strikes at the sprawling Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) training camp in Balakot.

Freed from hitherto prevalent political shackles on force, time and space, the planners were able to go for a choice of target, timing and packaging of force that was simply brilliant. The Pulwama attack was claimed by the terrorist outfit JeM, therefore the target of retaliation was its main training camp at Balakot. The air force package employed was comprehensive; including components for early warning, ground attack with high-tech target designators, protection against potential counter air operations by Pakistan, and post-strike damage assessment. Pakistan was given enough opportunity to react against the perpetrators of Pulwama. Despite the eleven-day delay in the process, both the employment and deployment of the force ensu­red adequate operational surprise.

India바카라�s foreign secretary described the operation as 바카라�intel-driven, non-military operations to pre-empt terrorist attacks바카라�. Having shed both the geographical and force limitation, India바카라�s retaliation to the Pulwama atta­­ck focused specifically on significant terrorist targets. Yet control was exercised as the retaliation steered clear of military or civilian targets.

The Pakistan air force retaliated to India바카라�s strike a day later바카라�February 27바카라�with fighter aircraft bombing targets along the Line of Control. Descri­bing the PAF action, Pakistan바카라�s official spokesperson said, 바카라�Pakistan바카라�s fighter aircraft locked on to military targets, but fired away from them.바카라� Ridiculous as that piece of communication sounded, the spokesperson tried to clarify their intention as 바카라�to demonstrate capability and reso­lve to retaliate without causing collateral damage바카라�. There바카라�s obviously a charade of restraint, and an attempt to appear to be the victim of the conflict. In the ensuing fight, a Pakistani fighter was shot down by India, while India lost a fighter aircraft whose pilot ejected and was taken into custody by Pakistan. The Line of Control is since active with shelling by both sides.

Pakistan upped the ante in the morning by engaging military targets, and by the evening Pakistan바카라�s Prime Minister Imran Khan was atte­mpting to control the situation by offe­ring to engage in dialogue to reso­lve all disputes. Imran Khan may have belatedly expressed some pro forma regret for what happened in Pulwama, but has not shown any desire to act against terrorists and their handlers operating in Pakistan. By choosing to strike at military targets in India, in response to India바카라�s strike against terrorist targets, Pakistan has provided live demonstration of its strategy and the extent to which it is prepared to go for the sake of their 바카라�strategic assets바카라� for sub-conventional warfare.

Pakistan바카라�s employment of conventional forces with irregulars (lashkars) is as old as Pakistan itself. It happened in 1947-48, 1965 and has been ongoing since the proxy war began in the eighties. In its latest ava­tar, in the 바카라�new concept of war fighting바카라�, at the lower end of the spectrum, it hopes to enlarge the scope for sub-conventional operations (terrorists), and at the other end, lower the nuclear threshold by bringing into play (even if it is bluster) tactical nucl­ear weapons.  Pakistan imagines a seamless hybri­disation of sub-conventional, conventional and tactical nuclear weapons to limit the time and space for conventional war. Striking military targets in India is provocation enough. Missing the target by design or failure doesn바카라�t lessen the gravity any way. Further, the vulgar display of photographs and videos of the pilot in their custody has only aggr­avated the situation further.

So, what next? While there must be strong diplomatic, infor­mation and economic action, by themselves they would be inadequate given the gravity of the provocation. A military response is therefore axiomatic for India to rema­­in on top of the situation.  Issues to be considered are바카라�theatre of response, targets, timing, nature of force, likely casualties and collateral damage. While potential for further escalation is a serious consideration, it would be pertinent to mention that the Balakot strike has to some extent called the bluff on Pakistan바카라�s nuclear sabre-rattling. In dealing with hybrid warfare, we should be guided by long-term objectives and strategy, and every action must contribute towards that. Every opportunity that presents itself must be utilised towards that end.

Presently, Pakistan has shown the first signs of de-escalation with Imran Khan바카라�s announcement of the Indian pilot바카라�s release. But there exists a legitimate window for India until Pakistan demonstra­tes action against JeM. Till then, India could continue to take well-cal­ibrated military action. The theatre for res­ponse should therefore be limited and the scope of targets also perhaps restricted to terrorist infrastructure. This would mark a shift from 바카라�All-Out War바카라� to 바카라�Controlled War바카라�.

(Views expressed are personal)

By Lt Gen Subrata Saha (Retd) Former Deputy Chief of Army Staff and Kashmir Corps Commander, and currently Member, National Security Advisory Board