Lone Threat To Muftis And Abdullahs

Jammu and Kashmir바카라�s top two political families바카라�the Abdullahs and the Muftis바카라�are facing a real challenge for the first time. The People바카라�s Democratic Party (PDP) and its president, former CM Mehbooba Mufti, are facing a reb­ellion within, even as the emergence of a 바카라�third front바카라� led by Sajad Gani Lone looks imminent. Even though not a single legislator from J&K바카라�s grand old party, the National Conference (NC), has raised the banner of revolt so far, former CM and NC vice-president Omar Abdullah is repeatedly seeking dissolution of the J&K Assembly바카라�worried that New Delhi is orchestrating the defection within the PDP to create a new political formation that could form the government in alliance with the BJP.

The 87-member assembly has been under suspended animation since the break-up of the PDP-BJP alliance. The PDP has 28 MLAs, making it the largest single party, followed by the BJP with 25, NC 15 and Congress 12, while Lone바카라�s People바카라�s Conference has two. The BJP is 16 short of forming the majority.

Read Also: If New Delhi Tries To Break PDP, There Will Be Consequences, Warns Mehbooba Mufti

On Sunday, July 8, Mehbooba had one-on-one meeting with her party MLAs. According to the PDP, 18 MLAs turned up or called her on phone, though other sources say only 12 met her. The interaction started at 11 am and continued till 6 pm. Omar, however, says there is a lot of 바카라�confusion about how many MLAs attended the PDP meeting바카라�and, in any case, speculation is meaningless바카라�.  

The revolt against Mehbooba바카라�s leadership and her party is led by Shia leader Imran Raza Ansari, who has a strong base in his own constituency of Pattan. He says Mehbooba turned the party into a family fiefdom, accommodating her brother, her uncle, nieces and others in positions of authority when she was CM. 바카라�In party and cabinet meetings,바카라� says Ansari, 바카라�I had warned Mehbooba of simmering discontent when I was minister for technical education. Now I am saying it openly.바카라�

Ansari is said to be close to Lone and former J&K finance minister Haseeb Drabu, who was removed from his post in March, following his controversial remark that J&K shouldn바카라�t be seen as conflict state or a political problem, but as a society with social issues. Drabu and Lone, who are both reportedly close to the BJP general secretary Ram Madhav, had a meeting in Delhi last week, which Drabu described as 바카라�a chance lunch, a few light-hearted laughs, back slapping bonhomie바카라�.

It was with Ram Madhav that Drabu had put together the PDP-BJP Agenda of Alliance document. Sometime after the fall of the coalition government, when the BJP바카라�s state unit admitted that some PDP legislators approached it, Ram Madhav insisted his party is for continuing with Governor바카라�s rule in the Valley in the interest of peace, governance and development.

Blaming Delhi for creating a rebel group in her party, Mehbooba warns that the Kashmiri people바카라�s trust in Indian democracy will be eroded if her party is split and Lone or somebody else is appointed the CM. Omar says the BJP바카라�s guiding philosophy is power at any cost. However, there is a consensus that almost nobody in Kashmir shed tears over the fall of the PDP-BJP government. In fact, there was jubilation among many sections, especially visible on social media.

바카라�When Mehbooba says Delhi is doing it (fomenting rebellion in the PDP), does she know she is branding all dissenters in her party as stooges of Delhi? Thousands have been killed due to such irresponsible utterances,바카라� says Ansari, reflecting the larger security-dominated discourse in the Valley, where everything originating from Delhi is seen with suspicion.

According to one of the PDP rebels, Yasir Reshi, a member of the Legislative Council, legislators moving away from the PDP, the NC or the Congress are doing it on their own, with intelligence agencies playing no role in it. 바카라�Don바카라�t we have the ability to think for ourselves?바카라� he asks. 바카라�Why do they always bring up the role of agencies, giving an impression that raising voice against family rule is an intelligence operation, which should be discredited. When in power, the two families speak a different language. Don바카라�t you remember what Mehbooba said about stone-throwing youth when she was CM? And look at her statements today. They don바카라�t match. We should always remember we have integrated with India, not just when in power, but also when out of it.바카라�

Coming to what he claims is the real reason for the turmoil in the PDP, Reshi says the new crop of legislators is not interested in family rule. 바카라�Across the world, people have fought against kings and family rule. Why should we expect the people of Kashmir to keep family raj intact?바카라� he asks. 바카라�That is also Omar바카라�s fear. He and Mehbooba are not up there because of extraordinary intelligence or a people-friendly approach. Mehbooba almost tried to end the political career of Muzaffer Hussain Baig, an int­elligent lawyer and able PDP leader. She kept him out of circulation for a long time.바카라�

Baig has not uttered a word since the PDP legislators, six so far, began speaking out openly against Mehbooba.

Going by J&K바카라�s anti-defection law, the PDP rebels need two-thirds of the MLAs바카라�19 out of 28바카라�to elect a new leader. In 2011, the BJP had invoked the law when it sought disqualification of seven of its members for voting against the party candidate in the Legislative Council election. The party couldn바카라�t disqualify them until the term ended in 2014 as the matter rem­ained pending in court.

바카라�In case the BJP stakes claim to form the government, with 12 PDP members supporting it and some others from the Congress and the NC abstaining during the confidence vote, the BJP will make it as only the votes of those present will be counted,바카라� says former J&K advocate-general Jehangir Ganai.

Reshi says the new front in the making will be a threat to both Mehbooba and the NC. 바카라�Who will vote for the PDP or the NC if a new grouping led by a dynamic leader comes to the fore? You will see different Kashmir in the months ahead. We will not keep Kashmiris hostage to false promises. We can sit in Opposition, but we won바카라�t lie to the people,바카라� promises Reshi.

Lone is most likely to be anointed leader of this prospective formation. Mehbooba바카라�s party is seemingly in tatters. With a strong voter base in his constituency of Kupwara, Lone and his like-minded friends can cobble up an alliance that will see a new electoral force emerging in Kashmir. It would pose a grave challenge to the NC too­­바카라�a tough test indeed for the oldest party in Kashmir, founded by Omar바카라�s grand­father, Sheikh Mohammed Abdullah, .

A senior PDP leader says Mehbooba didn바카라�t allow any room to the BJP in J&K and didn바카라�t let the BJP to move closer towards its goals vis-à-vis the special constitutional provisions for the state. 바카라�We fought for Article 35(A) and Article 370. We put up a strong def­ence,바카라� he says. 바카라�We will see how the third front with the BJP will deal with such issues. We will see who will be the new CM. That will tell us a lot.바카라�

As the PDP has come to be synonymous with Meh­booba, she would have to build her party anew, in case the def­ection becomes large scale. Can she meet the Lone challenge, given her three years as CM, in which a large number of civilian killings took place, and in the absence of her father Mufti Mohammad Sayeed바카라�and apparently with no blessings from the Centre.

By Naseer Ganai in Srinagar