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Omar Abdullah 2.0: Will The 바카라Lion바카라 Roar In 바카라Caged바카라 Valley

NC has made promises of Article 370 and Article 35-A restoration. At the same time, it has also promised the return of full statehood and good governance. Will Omar 2.0 be able to deliver on his promises.

PTI

On October 12, for the first time after nearly a hectic month of election campaigning, Omar Abdullah seemed relaxed. Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister designate Omar Abdullah had some leisure moments watching 바카라legends바카라 of cricket having a game at Srinagar바카라s Bakshi Stadium. Perhaps there are lessons for J&K바카라s upcoming J&K CM Omar Abdullah in cricket. He is caught on a tricky wicket. In 바카라gentlemen game바카라s바카라 lingo, Omar Abdullah must score runs and also save his wicket on an unfavourable pitch for batsmen. He needs to deliver on his promises at a time when the political dynamics of Valley have changed entirely post-5 August 2019. In the present situation, many believe an opportunity also lies for Omar Abdullah to emerge as the leader of 바카라Muslim aspirations바카라 in the country. 

NC has made promises of Article 370 and Article 35-A restoration. At the same time, it has also promised the return of full statehood and good governance. Will Omar 2.0 be able to deliver on his promises at a time when Valley has reposed faith in the National Conference with a massive mandate? This is a query which may or may not be answered in upcoming days. However, what has got cleared is that Omar바카라s new tenure won바카라t be a smooth ride for him, considering the two back-to-back orders issued by Lieutenant Governor Manoj Sinha led administration in the past week. Much has changed in J&K in the past five years, and the Omar Abdullah 2.0 government perhaps must have realised it.

The orders came just after the people had voiced their opinions through ballots. For many in Jammu and Kashmir, particularly Valley, the mandate from Valley was against BJP바카라s decision of August 5, 2019.  It was when J&K바카라s special status was abrogated, and the state was downgraded and divided into two UTs.  

In the first order issued by the LG Sinha-led administration, an amendment was made to recruitment guidelines for the Jammu and Kashmir Police (Gazetted) Service. The Jammu and Kashmir Public Service Commission (JKPSC) has been tasked to 바카라handle direct recruitment, while promotions will be overseen by the Departmental Promotion Committee (DPC)바카라. The J&K Police used to have its own recruitment board to fill vacancies. In another order, the recruitment rules were amended under the Jammu and Kashmir Civil Services (Decentralization and Recruitment) Act, 2010. The amendment empowers the J&K Service Selection Board to recruit for all Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs), government companies, corporations, boards, and organisations substantially owned or controlled by the J&K government. Besides, it also included Class IV posts, which means the new government in J&K will not be able to fill the vacant posts at even this level.

For many in Valley, there is no doubt that there would be challenging times ahead for Omar Abdullah led government, however under current political dynamics in J&K, Centre is also going to be under duress. 

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Political analysts in the Valley believe the Centre is bound to restore statehood, considering it lies within the ambit of the directions of the Supreme Court, which has ordered its restoration. 

바카라Statehood has been mentioned by the Supreme Court. It was on SC바카라s intervention that elections were held in J&K. The same Court has mentioned that they(Centre) must restore the statehood,바카라 says an advocate and NC supporter from Ganderbal, a constituency represented by Omar Abdullah. 

At present, LG holds sway in J&K, while the government has limited powers. The 2019 Reorganisation Act has empowered LG in J&K to a large extent. Section 32 of the Act makes public order and police, the bureaucracy, and the anti-corruption bureau under LG바카라s control. Also, Section 36 of the Act empowers LG to deal with special provisions regarding financial bills. The Centre had limited legislative powers concerning Jammu and Kashmir under Article 370 as it stood before the abrogation.

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Analysts believe that in his second tenure, Omar Abdullah will have a tough time negotiating the political divide between Srinagar and Jammu.

In the past, the mandate in Jammu would go with Congress earlier, and later, the Kashmir-based parties would form the government, taking along the Jammu mandate with them for government formation. Many believe it was the reason why the 바카라divide바카라 would not 바카라dominantly surface earlier as it does now바카라. In recent history, the Jammu people voted for Congress in 2002, and in 2008, the Jammu chose Congress again. It was in 2014 that Jammu decided to go with BJP. It was when the PDP joined hands with the BJP to form an alliance. 

바카라NC doesn바카라t have an overwhelming mandate from Jammu with them. That would be an internal challenge for Omar Abdullah as a government leader,바카라 opines an activist from Jammu. 

The question in Valley is also about what type of statehood will be restored to J&K. 

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A political science scholar at Bandipora, who wished anonymity, explained that if the statehood is restored to J&K as of August 5, 2019, the whole set of laws that the Centre has extended to J&K will not be operational. 바카라Rather, the Constitution has a scheme of things for the distribution of powers between states and centres. Then that will operate,바카라 he says.

In another case, if the Centre wants to establish statehood for J&K on a different pattern, legal experts opine that it can only be done through a constitutional amendment. 

바카라And that amendment, whether they can have it at this juncture or not, that is another question mark because they (BJP government )don바카라t have the type of majority which they had previously when J&K바카라s special status was abrogated and downgraded from state to UT. So that is a problem for Centre,바카라 says a senior lawyer from J&K High Court.  

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Omar-led government would also be in a sort of bother, considering his party has won an overwhelming majority over the restoration of Article 370 and the state바카라s autonomy. It would also be interesting to see whether Omar would take cajoles with the Centre for J&K바카라s dignity without compromising development and employment issues. Many believe it is Omar바카라s chance to rise to the occasion to emerge as a 바카라hero of Kashmiri nation바카라 without crossing New Delhi바카라s set red lines. 

For a former J&K legislator post August 5, 2019, the legal framework has left J&K바카라s CM 바카라handcuffed바카라, where he is a 바카라head of just municipality바카라. 

바카라With these limited powers, questions also arise: will he (Omar Abdullah) be able to satisfy the public바카라s wishes,바카라 he says.

With land and policing under LG's ambit, many political analysts believe it would 바카라emerge as a problem for Centre바카라 rather than the Omar Abdullah 2.0 government. 

A University Professor in Valley says with the changed political chessboard in J&K, things will get 바카라difficult바카라 for Centre. 

바카라In it, there is also a problem for the Centre. You have to understand that J&K is a border state. In border states, we have civilian governments to enlist the support of the local population while fighting insurgency,바카라 he says.

He adds, 바카라Now, if a state doesn바카라t have law and order within its jurisdiction. For them(local government), the insurgency will be like an India-Pakistan cricket match because they will have no stakes; they can just enjoy it and maybe just sympathise with either. They will have no responsibility of maintaining law and order.바카라

As per the above University Professor, 바카라If these problems arise, Centre will have no moral ground to blame local government.바카라

He says that the local government will blame the Centre. 

바카라Tomorrow, if some sort of human rights case or any such incident occurs, local government will safely join people in protesting or condemning that. Can they afford Delhi-type statehood here where policing the whole security apparatus will be theirs, and the local government will be exonerated for all its responsibilities?바카라 he says.

Many believe that it would be an arduous trek for Omar Abdullah's government to even run governance smoothly when the police department doesn바카라t fall under its domain. 바카라When you don바카라t have security in your hands, you will not be able to pursue governance as the state would have wished to be,바카라 says a former lawmaker. 

For a retired bureaucrat in south Kashmir바카라s Anantnag, it would be easy for the Omar Abdullah government under present circumstances to emerge from 바카라tricky situations.바카라

바카라They(NC) can pass resolutions inside the Assembly for everything. They can have a safe passage saying that it is now for Centre to do what is needed as they have done their job legally,바카라 he says.

바카라In it, they can easily blame Centre,바카라 he adds. 

Professor Sheikh Showkat, the renowned political analyst, says another critical thing J&K will likely witness is the 바카라duality of authority.바카라  

Now, under the present setup, responsibility lies with LG and CM.

Many feel it is going to be a 바카라mess바카라.

바카라When J&K was a state with full-fledged statehood, it had a unified command, and practically, it was the local government which would legitimise whatever security forces would do and share the blame. Now it will be totally opposite,바카라 says a former police officer.

For a former minister in J&K, NC can 바카라enjoy power바카라 and 바카라blame centre for everything바카라.

The current situation for Omar Abdullah also opens an opportunity for him not only to emerge as a 바카라Kashmiri nationalist leader바카라 but also a leader of 바카라Muslim aspirations바카라 in the entire country at a time when Muslims are being 바카라marginalised바카라, analysts believe. 

For a University Professor teaching International Relations, 바카라Kashmir is an isolated piece of land in South Asia. Here, you have a Muslim aspiration to peace within the larger mainstream. On the other hand, the political atmosphere is very fragile in the immediate neighbourhood, be it Pakistan, Bangladesh and even Afghanistan. So the road to peace to these regions actually lies through Kashmir, where at least if not peace, some semblance of calm prevails바카라. 

바카라So it is for you(Omar Abdullah), how would you as a regional leader negotiate the current political dynamics in the Valley to influence the international, regional political alignment in the region?바카라 he says.

Besides, the Abdullah clan is among the most respected and known political clans in the entire country. For many Abdullahs, they represent not only Kashmiri political interests but also national Muslim aspirations. 

For former NC spokesperson Danish Iqbal, who was once close to the party바카라s top brass, it remains to be seen: 바카라How Omar Abdullah would use his meagre political capital to address the overall Muslim aspirations is his most inspirational task not just as the new CM but as the Muslim leader.바카라

Analysts like Iqbal believe it is a chance for Omar Abdullah to emerge as the limit of Muslim aspiration in the country.

The coming days in J&K will determine whether the 바카라lion바카라s roar바카라 will echo in the Valley or it will just be the 바카라cat바카라s meow바카라.

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