It Takes A Quake To Tango

In six pithy chapters Desai embarks on a sweeping survey that locates the history of the Liberal Order (LO) in 1917, the year which marked the entry of the US into the First World War, as also the Bolshevik Revo­lution바카라�events that symbolised the waning of 바카라�European domination바카라�. The first chapter is the most substantive and reviews the last century when 바카라�the Old Order collapsed바카라�. In broad brushstrokes, Desai glides from 1918 through the Great Depression of 1929 and strings the more significant political and economic developments right down to April 2017.

These include a thumbnail of the Cold War and US-Soviet rivalry; the anomalous denouement in December 1991; the rise of an Islamic theocracy in Iran; a sweep of the US as the sole superpower; the Balkan nightmare and the ambitious attempt to create a European Union; the rise of China and the late 바카라�90s Asian fin­ancial crisis; Islam as a challenge to the LO; the enormity of 9/11 and the global war on terror; the challenge to globalisation and multi-cultural tolerance. The final sweep is a panoramic tour of the Lehman Brothers crisis that erupted on September 15, 2008, and how 바카라�things fall apart바카라�, leading to the crisis in the Eurozone and the current 바카라�Reckoning바카라� within the EU.

Desai is deft at interpreting global fiscal and economic convulsions and locating the attendant turbulence in a larger socio-political context. The central arg­ument is that voter dissatisfaction due to economic setbacks is on the rise across the LO and that 바카라�nationalism has become one of the forces to oppose liberal internationalism바카라�. This vast and often hurried survey provides the transition to examining the rise of two 바카라�outsiders in Politics: Narendra Modi and Donald Trump바카라�. Recalling the dominant LO narrative about the US presidential election, wherein it was presumed바카라�wrongly, as it turned out to be바카라�that Hillary Clinton would win, Desai reminds the reader: 바카라�How come no one believed that Trump was electable? I was able to see it way back in April 2016.바카라�

The ability to spot the unlikely political winner was apparently on display in December 2007 during a TV panel discussion on Modi바카라�s victory in the Gujarat elections. Desai바카라�s recall is vivid: 바카라�I said, 바카라�Narendra Modi is the next leader of the BJP바카라�. This provoked surprise and some disgust, because the idea of Modi going on to the national stage was unthinkable.바카라� The author appears to have a natural flair for accurate electoral fore­­casting and in mid-2014, when the BJP바카라�s seat share in Parliament was being discussed live on TV, Desai was almost spot-on: 바카라�In the pool, I bet as many as 265 seats, the most anyone had predicted. I was short of the final result by about 20 seats. But I won the pool...바카라�. What was it, by the way? Cognac and cigars?

Desai dwells on the similarities between the two 바카라�outsiders바카라�바카라�Modi and Trump and observes: 바카라�They have a toxic image in the eyes of the liberal media. They are denounced as racist/communalist.바카라� Yet, they won by tapping into the deeply emb­edded frustration of the voter constituency ignored by the LO and a new kind of politics has emerged for sure in the world바카라�s oldest and largest democracies. As a fellow Gujarati, one may conjecture that Desai has a more nuanced and deeper understanding of the Modi phenomenon and his empathy with the victory of the 바카라�outsider바카라� is evident. Desai does not gloss over the aspersions cast on him. 바카라�It is fashionable among the Indian liberal media to invoke the name of Hitler when speaking of Modi, but 바카라�it is misleading for many reasons.바카라�

This is debatable to my mind, but the author avers that Modi, with his BJP/RSS grooming, may be 바카라�majoritarian, but not a populist바카라�. There is much imp­ort in such nuanced assessments from an astute observer of Indian politics and he may still spot the winner in 2019. Modi again, Lord Desai?