On May 19, the seventh and final phase of Lok Sabha elections, most of the country was glued to their TV screens. After nearly two months of a raucous election campaign, began an even more jarring exercise spanning multiple hours: the 바카라exit poll바카라 revelation.
All exit polls predicted a thumping majority for BJP-led NDA government and a second term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi.Â
There was high drama in some TV studios, while others . Most of the exit polls announced 300+ seats for BJP-led NDA government. However, some extrapolations were just, well바카라Š extra.
To begin with, the lack of transparency in terms of the methodology used for conducting 바카라exit polls바카라 leaves much to the imagination. Most, as has been revealed later, were post-poll surveys, those conducted a day after the polling.
On May 20, Axis-MyIndia, which had partnered with the India Today Group, deleted their seat-by-seat projections from their website. The data, however, has reappeared again, but the seat-by-seat projections are now on the India Today website. Prior to that, there had been discrepancies which were pointed out.
The bigger problem seemed to be with a disclaimer that said: 바카라Seat by seat indicated are based purely on the popularity of the political party during exit polls and not the individual candidate and hence we cannot be held responsible for any variation of the winning or losing of the individual candidate stated in the seat by seat in our exit polls.바카라
The 바카라exit poll바카라 related queries are on . The second question has been answered pretty straightforwardly: 바카라Even though 'exit poll' is the commonly-used nomenclature, technically speaking, the survey was a 'post-poll' study. The key difference between the two lies in the location and the timing of the interviews.바카라
The differences between the two were spelled out by a piece in a where the author also raised questions about vote share being translated into seats. The author writes: 바카라What the exit polls are expected to have are vote share numbers. Even if they are accurate, there is no guarantee that seat share projections will be accurate.바카라
That aside, there were also major discrepancies in how other pollsters went about their day jobs:
바카라§ The Lok Janshakti Party is contesting 6 seats in Bihar while gave it between 5-7 seats.
바카라§ predicted that AAP would win 2.9% vote share in Uttarakhand while the party has not announced a candidate from the state.
바카라§ It also said that the BJP candidate would win the single seat of Chandigarh despite having a lesser vote share of about 37% as compared to the Congress candidate바카라s over 42% vote share.
바카라§ Aside from getting the names of five constituencies from Uttarakhand wrong, Axis predicted that the Congress would win Chennai Central- a constituency where the Congress did not field its candidate.
바카라§ It also apparently got confused between the Sikkim Democratic Front and the Sikkim Krantikari Morcha, exchanging names of winners and vote shares in the single-seat state.
What pollsters aside from ABP바카라s Nielsen and News 24바카라s Neta seemed to agree on, however, was a thumping victory for the NDA at the Centre. Even after the results on May 23 though, electioneering and pollstergiri will continue.
