Saffron Ambivalence

So, when he, as the vice-president of the ruling PDP, issued a statement a fortnight ago, the press in Jammu and Kashmir as well as outside got a heads-up. 바카라�I welcome the unconditional offer of dialogue from Government of India on Kashmir and expect that the same should evoke a positive response from all those interested in ending the stalemate,바카라� he said. The note came on September 22, a day after BJP general secretary Ram Madhav, who is in charge of the saffron party바카라�s aff­airs in the state, said the Centre was willing for unconditional talks with who­soever on the Kashmir issue.

That elated Sartaj, 63, unusually. He said the J&K people have been the 바카라�worst sufferers of uncertainty and instability arising out of contentious issues and confrontation바카라�. Tacitly asking the Hurri­yat Conference to grab the Madhav offer, he added, 바카라�Now is the time that reconciliatory gestures from New Delhi are not put to any doubt and all stakeholders extend a helping hand in restoring the process of dialogue for sustainable peace and conflict resolution.바카라�

Madhav, during his latest J&K visit, told reporters that the NDA government led by his party had been stating that its door was open for all the stakeholders of the state. 바카라�We are ready to talk to whosoever wants to have a dialogue바카라�without any preconditions,바카라� he said. That invited immediate responses from separatist leaders. Syed Ali Geelani, Mirwaiz Umar Farooq and Yasin Malik announced that they were ready for a 바카라�sincere, meaningful and result-oriented dialogue바카라� among the 바카라�three parties바카라�: India, Pakistan and representatives of Kashmiris.

Earlier, on September 11, Union home minister Rajnath Singh had said the Narendra Modi administration will not go against the wishes of the J&K people on constitutional provisions that guarantee special privileges to the restive region. He was referring to widespread apprehensions in Kashmir that the Centre is against the vexed Articles 370 and 35A. While 370 (as a permanent feature of the Indian Constitution) confers J&K with a special autonomy status, 35A empowers the state legislature to define its 바카라�permanent residents바카라� (qualifying them for owning property and obtaining state government job). Rajnath, on his four-day J&K visit, rejected such concerns and described them as a 바카라�non-issue바카라�바카라�, suggesting to take his assurances as 바카라�the home minister of India바카라�.

That way, the scene in the Valley looked set for major changes. The army added further credence to the prospect when on September 27 Major General B.S. Raju, head of the Victor Force that looks after South Kashmir, stated that time was ripe for a political initiative as 바카라�back of militancy has been broken바카라�바카라�and 바카라�anything under the Constitution is possible바카라�.

Three days later, on September 30, the euphoria met with a spoiler when Rash­triya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) sidelined all pro-dialogue voices within the BJP. Sangh chief Mohan Bhagwat said 바카라�necessary constitutional amendments바카라� will have to be made for the J&K people to be 바카라�completely assimilated바카라� with the rest of the country. As the Valley was stunned, the PDP went into a shell. The separatist leaders, who were talking about the dialogue, hit back at Bhagwat. Geelani, for instance, said such statements indicate that India doesn바카라�t want to resolve Kashmir through political means.

In his more-than-an-hour-long address on Vijayadashami, which is also the RSS바카라�s foundation day, Bhagwat said old provisions will have to be changed in J&K. 바카라�Then and then only its residents can be completely assimilated with the rest of Bharat and their equal cooperation and share will be possible in the national progress,바카라� he added.

A day later, J&K deputy chief minister Nirmal Singh added to the political storm by saying the Article 370 has caused more harm to the state. He called for its abrogation, saying that had the BJP got 44-plus seats (magic number) in the ass­embly, things would have been different.

A moderate, Mirwaiz says Kashmir is not a state-and-Centre issue. 바카라�It is not a law and order problem, Neit­her is it an administrative or security issue. It is a political issue and that has to be understood,바카라� he tells Outlook. He, however, says Bhagwat바카라�s statement and its endo­rsement by Nirmal show the 바카라�ambi­tions바카라� of the RSS and BJP over Kashmir. 바카라�They want revocation of the Articles 370 and 35A and a complete assimilation. It is unacceptable. Such atte­mpts would be resisted tooth and nail.바카라�

Mirwaiz says the BJP needs to first clear its position on Kashmir before the RSS and then articulate it in public. 바카라�That party바카라�s leadership has so many contradictory stands on Kashmir.바카라�

The BJP바카라�s state unit sees no contradiction in the RSS-BJP positions and that of the J&K government on the Article 35A. The Mehbooba government, of which the BJP is a part, has filed a long counter against the petitions filed for revocation of the Article 35A before the Supreme Court, points out Virendar Gupta, the party바카라�s state spokesman. 바카라�As a national party, the BJP has a certain view about Kashmir바카라�we are for the abrogation of the Articles 370 and 35A. All the same, if Nirmal Singh speaks that Article 370 should have been abrogated long ago, it should be seen as views of a party leader, not of the deputy chief minister.바카라� Gupta says the party, in spite of being in alliance with the PDP, has right to express its views about the special status of J&K바카라�and it will not abdicate it.

Dr Hina Bhat, the BJP바카라�s face in Kashmir, has similar points about the special status, but prefers to express them in a different way. 바카라�What is there in the Article 370? The previous governments have rendered it toothless and now it is only a shell. Whether it remains or it goes, it doesn바카라�t make any difference,바카라� she tells Outlook. 바카라�The regional parties have been making people emotional and sentimental about the Article 370. My stand is that its presence or absence doesn바카라�t make any difference to people. This should be communicated to masses.바카라� Bhat chooses not to talk more about the Article 35A, 바카라�as it is in the SC바카라�.

Such observations from the BJP leaders show the party is in no mood to keep quiet after Bhagwat바카라�s speech. Observers say the voices against the special status for J&K will go shriller in the coming days till some union minister or top BJP leader calls for restraint, if at all.

The Congress sees no consistency in the BJP바카라�s views on Kashmir. Tariq Karra, a senior leader of the grand old party, is the only Kashmiri leader in the state바카라�s recent history to have resigned as an MP last year (then of the PDP), citing large-scale killings of the civilian protesters at the hands of security forces. That prompted him to join the Congress. Today, he recalls that much before Bhag­wat바카라�s Vijayadashami speech, Rajnath and Madhav had talked about reconciliation and talks in the Valley.

Madhav바카라�s statement that the present NDA government is ready for an unconditional dialogue is, to 62-year-old Karra, a major policy shift. 바카라�The BJP did it all under pressure from the Congress바카라�s Policy Group바카라�s (recent) visit to the Valley,바카라� the former finance minister claims. 바카라�But the Hurriyat Conference has not resp­onded to their offer. That is why they have gone back to their earlier position.바카라�

True, autumn is poised to set in the Valley, but J&K is unlikely to experience a cool weather when it comes to politics. Even into the winter, Kashmir may get embroiled in the issue, according to the state바카라�s advocate-general Jehangir Iqbal Ganai, as there is a November 24 hearing of the three petitions against the Article 35A at the Supreme Court. Ganai says it was the registry of the apex court that decided to list the case for the hearing. 바카라�The state has nothing to do with the def­erring of the case till November.바카라�

However, critics, like Karra, say the J&K administration wanted the case to be heard in the winter months. 바카라�In case of any adverse order, the state government would be able to tackle the agitation in Kashmir,바카라� he notes. 바카라�The ruling PDP-BJP combine is actually playing this melodrama in tandem.바카라�

As Sartaj remains silent about the Bha­gwat바카라�s 바카라�assimilation바카라� speech, the indi­cat­ion for many goes thus: the PDP is either shaken or is in sync with Bhagwat바카라�s idea바카라�as alleged by the Opposition Natio­nal Conference. Only the PDP veteran can tell which side his party is now.

By Naseer Ganai in Srinagar