Weeks Away From Lok Sabha Polls, Can INDIA Unite Over Kejriwal, Soren Arrests?

Soon after Kejriwal바카라�s arrest, Opposition unity was apparent on social media. Congress leaders including Rahul Gandhi and Mallikarjun Kharge, NCP chief Sharad Pawar, TMC바카라�s Derek O바카라�Brien, Tamil Nadu Chief Minister and DMK leader M K Stalin, Kerala CM Pinarayi Vijayan, RJD바카라�s Tejashwi Yadav, Akhilesh Yadav of Samajwadi Party were among those who slammed the BJP government for using ED and arrests as a pre-poll tactic to 바카라�silence바카라� democracy. 

This is what top Opposition leaders have said since the arrest:

Congress leader Shashi Tharoor said: "To try and tamper with what was supposed to be a level playing field by arresting somebody who is not just a Chief Minister of a state but also a President of an Opposition party in the fray and at the same time to freeze the bank accounts of principal Opposition party, the Congress, this is for us is completely unacceptable. It is an assault on democracy and it reveals the depths to which this BJP govt of PM Modi will sink, they would rather throw our democracy in the gutter than risk losing the election which they're clearly afraid of losing. This is one more indication of the panic that has set in in the BJP ranks. I urge SC to take suo moto cognizance of the matter."

Taking to Twitter, Rahul Gandhi called the ruling party a 바카라�scared dictator바카라� while others questioned the ED바카라�s move to arrest an Opposition leader ahead of elections when the model code of conduct has already been implemented. 바카라�Clearly, the arrest of Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal is linked to elections. Within days of the Lok Sabha polls announcement, you see a sitting CM and an important partner of opposition alliance, has been arbitrarily arrested by ED. His arrest unfortunately is a part of the process whereby the democratic institution of the country has gradually been eroded,바카라� INDIA-bloc partner Jammu Kashmir National Conference vice-president Omar Abdullah told media in Srinagar. 

DMK chief MK Stalin condemned the 바카라�egregious assault바카라� on democracy and the party바카라�s workers have been holding protests in support of Kejriwal. Warning the BJP to get ready to 바카라�face the people바카라�s wrath,바카라� the TN CM posted, 바카라�Ahead of driven by fear of a decade of failures and the imminent defeat, the Fascist BJP Govt sinks to despicable depths by arresting  Delhi CM (Kejriwal), following the unjust targeting of brother Hemant Soren바카라�. He further highlighted how no BJP leaders were 바카라�facing any scrutiny바카라� even amid  바카라�relentless persecution of opposition leaders,바카라� which 바카라�smacks of a desperate desperate witch-hunt바카라�. 

바카라�Their futile arrests only fuel our resolve, fortifying the alliance's march to victory,바카라� Stalin added. 

NCP stalwart Sharif Pawar also took to Twitter to express his solidarity with Kejriwal: 바카라�Strongly condemn the vindictive misuse of central agencies to target the opposition, especially as general elections loom. This arrest showcases the depth to which BJP will stoop for power. 바카라�INDIA바카라� stands united against this unconstitutional action against 바카라� 

Many of these leaders including Stalin had previously come out in support of Soren. 바카라�Thiru Hemant Soren is a blatant display of political vendetta by the Union BJP Govt. Using investigative agencies to harass a tribal leader is a new low,바카라� Stalin had stated. 

Will the arrests of Kejriwal and Soren give the INDIA bloc the much needed plank it needs to unite all its ideologically differing alliance partners from across different states? 

Can the INDIA bloc capitalise on this issue in time for Lok Sabha elections?

The ground is ripe, feel analysts. Nevertheless, the ground is ripe for a mass movement against the BJP. Coming in the backdrop of the electoral bonds controversy, the arrests have the potential to snowball into an ideological agreement between the various INDIA leaders. Perhaps the INDIA bloc parties can take a few lessons from the past. The 1977 electoral defeat of India Gandhi was the result of the coming together of Opposition parties across strands of ideology or politics for a common cause. The end of the Emergency period which saw several Opposition leaders and governments dissidents were indiscriminately jailed and sanctions placed on media, was followed by the nation바카라�s first national coalition government, made up of five parties, four of which had formed the Janata Party, itself a party forged out of alliance. 

Many have indeed likened the current political situation to the Emergency era. Delhi Commission of Women chief Swati Maliwal said, 바카라�Arvind Kejriwal arrested, Hemant Soren arrested, Congress Bank Accounts frozen, Election Commissioners resigning, Electoral Bonds scam not being investigated바카라�If this is not a state of emergency, what is?바카라� 

바카라�There is, however, a world of qualitative differences between now and then. Politicians may want to use the term 바카라�Emergency바카라� or as a slogan but they have to realise that it doesn바카라�t work,바카라� political analyst Rasheed Kidwai stated.

바카라�The acts by Indira Gandhi which were deemed 바카라�unconstitutional바카라� or illegal were proven or declared to be so by the country바카라�s laws, intelligentsia and agencies. Gandhi바카라�s own election was set aside by the Allahabad High Court in 1974 which her critics believe may have led to her decision to implement emergency, thereby freezing all democratic channels. 

As opposed to that, most of the arrests made under Modi government are backed by law. 바카라�The arrests of leaders, even those known to have high integrity like Manish Sisodia, Soren or Kejriwal, are being carried out within the legal framework and the law seems to be against them. Therefore, they are not even able to get bail바카라�. 

There is also a shift in the attitudes of media and civil society. Much of mainstream media, which acted at a watchdog capacity in the 70s and publicly resisted censorship, has today become largely polarised and aligned with the party in power. 바카라�Moreover, they have shown not just indifference but have been rather adversarial to the Opposition바카라�s cause,바카라� Kidwai adds. 

Political scientist Manindra N Thakur states that while the controversy over the arrest might make some of Kejriwal바카라�s voters in Delhi question the ruling party, the on ground situation is not likely to be in favour of INDIA electorally. It would dependson how quickly and effectively the Opposition parties can marshal all their resources and mobilise their individual cadre bases to take to grounds in large numbers. 바카라�It is a question of how quickly and unitedly the parties can mobilise their cadres and ensure that their ideas reach the ground,바카라�  says political scientist Manindra N Thakur. There is also the question of ironing out ideological differences and rivalries not just at the leadership level but also between workers pf both parties. 

Another important aspect, in case of Kejriwal is his own political identity and credibility among his voter bases in Delhi. Thakur, however, feels that it is unlikely as his core voters - the middle class - has been disillusioned with the party due to its apparent fall from moral high ground. A slew of controversies like the Kejriwal house renovation expenses row or the Supreme Court바카라�s denial of bail to Sisodia, have added to loss of credibility for AAP on ground. 바카라�AAP바카라�s other voter base which consisted of domestic workers, people with small jobs etc in areas like JJ colony has also been penetrated by the BJP,바카라� he states. In such a scenario, massive on ground mobilisation is unlikely in Delhi. 

 바카라�The setting is perfect. But the problem is, who will bell the cat? Mallikarjun Kharge, at 83, as Congress President, does not carry that kind of heft. It has to have Sachin Pilot, Priyanka Gandhi, other Opposition leaders to come to the fore and bring things to a standstill, so that the people really see that they are upset,바카라� Kidwai states. The reaction of regional partners will also depend on political aspirations and intent of the regional parties. 바카라�The BSP, for instance, is likely to go easy against BJP this time, perhaps in return for an easier run during the assembly elections,바카라� Thakur adds.